Thursday, September 19, 2013

Match Forecasts: September 20-22

And we're back!

I have run my first version of team ratings for the top five leagues, which can be found on the left sidebar, and fed them into our logistic regression model to assign probabilities to this weekend's games.

As our ratings are still trying to get a good grasp on newly promoted teams, I won't be tracking bet amounts for the model for another week or two. Also, as the Italian league has played only three rounds to date, we are going to give the model another week to adjust before publishing forecasts in Serie A.

Flip around the tabs in the spreadsheet below to examine different leagues.


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