As we enter the home stretch in the English football season, we again simulate the remainder 5000 times to handicap the races for the Champions League, promotion playoffs, and relegation.
Tottenham gets a big boost after unexpectedly winning against Manchester City, but still appear the least likely of them, Arsenal, and Chelsea to lock up a spot in next season's champions league. Meanwhile, the third relegation spot looks to have come down to Aston Villa or Wigan with QPR and Reading already doomed.
In the Championship, the drama has turned to the playoff spots, as it's likely that three of them will go to Watford, Brighton, and Crystal Palace. Contending for the final spot are Bolton and Leicester, with Nottingham Forest on the outside looking in. When the playoff begins, I will be back to break down each team's chances of gaining promotion to the Premier League.